Business

Anchor’s 20% Savings Rate Isn’t All That Meets the Eye

Anchor’s 20% Savings Rate Isn’t All That Meets the Eye

Estimated Reading Time: 8-9 minutes

  • High APYs ≠ Low Risk: Anchor’s widely advertised 20% stablecoin yield masked complex underlying mechanics and significant vulnerabilities, demonstrating that attractive rates don’t inherently guarantee stability or safety.
  • Sustainability Relies on Intricate Balance: The protocol’s ability to generate its high yield was profoundly dependent on a delicate equilibrium between borrower demand, the fluctuating value of staking derivatives, and dynamic fee splitting, which proved unsustainable when market conditions shifted adversely.
  • Market Forces and Competition are Relentless: The inherent challenges posed by the nascent staking derivatives market, coupled with intense competition from other lending protocols and volatile borrower sentiment, severely strained Anchor’s operational model, leading to a critical reliance on external capital injections.
  • Due Diligence is Paramount: Discerning investors must rigorously investigate the true source of yield, assess evolving market dynamics, diversify their investments, and implement robust risk management strategies, rather than being swayed solely by an advertised percentage.
  • Ecosystem Interconnectedness Matters: Anchor’s ultimate collapse, inextricably linked to the broader Terra ecosystem failure, underscores the critical importance of scrutinizing the entire interconnected network supporting any DeFi investment.

Introduction

In the exhilarating world of decentralized finance (DeFi), headline-grabbing annual percentage yields (APYs) frequently capture the attention of investors. Among these, Anchor Protocol gained widespread notoriety for its enticing offer of around 20% on stablecoin deposits. For many, this presented an unprecedented opportunity—a high-yield, ostensibly stable return amidst market volatility. However, as often proves true for propositions that seem exceptionally favorable, the long-term sustainability and underlying mechanics of this rate were considerably more intricate than a simple percentage suggested.

This article delves into the elaborate workings behind Anchor’s once-celebrated savings rate, exploring its innovative design, the formidable challenges it encountered, and the crucial lessons that discerning investors can glean from its trajectory. We will scrutinize why an impressive APY is not always a straightforward indicator of enduring stability or minimal risk.

The Promise of High Yields: Deconstructing Anchor’s Mechanism

Anchor Protocol launched with an ambitious vision: to establish a stable, high-yield savings product within the DeFi ecosystem, primarily by harnessing staking rewards derived from proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchains. The foundational concept was elegant: users would deposit stablecoins, and the protocol would then lend these assets to borrowers who utilized liquid staking derivatives (LSDs) as collateral. The staking rewards generated by these LSDs were subsequently intended for distribution to savers as interest, thereby theoretically creating a self-sustaining yield engine.

The innovation was evident, aiming to democratize access to returns traditionally associated with institutional finance. Yet, the precise mechanism devised to sustain such a high rate, particularly the widely discussed 20%, was subject to a myriad of variables and internal adjustments. To truly comprehend the subtleties, it is paramount to understand the intricate balancing act the protocol endeavored to maintain:

Table of Links
Abstract and 1. Introduction
Stablecoins and Lending Markets
Fixed-Rate Lending Protocols and Derivatives
Staking Derivatives
Staking Fees as Stable Interest
Stabilization Mechanisms
Some Caveats
Diversification, Interest Rates Swaps, and Tranching
Towards Universal Basic Income
Closing Remarks
Acknowledgements and References

6 Stabilization Mechanisms
But the scenario of always being able to offer savings interest rates as high as staking fees yield is an unrealistic ideal. It assumes that all of the savings deposited by savers will be successfully loaned to borrowers. In reality, borrower demands fluctuate. If the terms of the loans are sufficiently favorable, enough borrowing should happen. It is understandable that borrowers will find a lower overcollateralization ratio attractive, as it allows them to borrow a higher amount with the same collateral size. But not maintaining a high overcollateralization ratio would mean that the protocol is exposed to a higher level of risks, so the room for maneuver in this regard is not unlimited.

This leaves the other parameter, the ratio for the split of the staking fees, as the primary leverage for regulatory control. In the Anchor protocol, when there is insufficient borrowing, the split changes so that the borrower can keep a relatively higher portion of the staking fee; when enough of the savings are successfully loaned out, this split changes in the other direction so that an increased amount of the staking fee goes towards the savers.

It is possible that depending on the availability of other borrowing opportunities in the market, even at a very favorable split of the staking fees there may not be enough borrowing demand. Some other lenders may offer a lower interest rate; some are already offering 0% [33]. Others may also be able to offer a lower overcollateralization ratio. We will discuss more about these possible competitions in the next section.

As such, borrower demand will necessarily fluctuate over different market conditions. This is why the current Anchor interest rate for savings is set at a few percentage points below expected staking fees income. This allows the extra income to go into a reserve. So if future staking fees income is to fall, the interest rate for savings does not have to change immediately without sufficient warning to the savers. By using the money from the reserve, the interest rate can be maintained temporarily even if staking fees income cannot sustain the rate in the longer run.

7 Some Caveats
At the time of writing, the initially offered 20% annual rate Anchor interest rate has been maintained around the same level successfully since inception earlier this year (2021). Notably, even during the market crash in May 2021 when the price of Bitcoin dropped by over 50%, the Anchor rate sustained at around 18% which was within the expected limit. It has been suggested that this highly competitive rate may become a new industry standard [44].

However, staking derivatives are a relatively new type of financial instrument. The market is still at an early stage of development, with new trends emerging rapidly. At the time of writing, Anchor only accepts staking derivatives from the native Luna network as collaterals. Although there are plans to accept staking derivatives from other major PoS networks in the near future, it may be more difficult to fully anticipate what that would entail. One reason is that staking derivative tokens generated by staking the native Luna currency are perhaps not so widely accepted as collateral for loans yet. Therefore, holders of these derivative tokens do not have many other options for generating immediate liquidity via borrowing.

But if this general protocol design is to scale up, and to accept other staking derivatives as collaterals, one has to face the market competition offered by other lenders. As mentioned in the last section, some other lenders may be able to afford taking a higher level of risk, by requiring a relatively marginal overcollateralization ratio as low as just 110% [32]. At such a tight margin, should the value of the staked currency suddenly drop substantially during a flash crash, one would have to seize the collateral and sell it very quickly to avoid a loss. The Liquity protocol [32], for instance, is able to do so because of a more efficient and automated liquidation process supported by an internal liquidity pool. Furthermore, they are also able to offer zero interest rate for the borrowers. Currently Liquity only accepts Ethereum (not its staked derivatives) as collateral. But it is conceivable that similar forms of competition may soon come into play for other major cryptocurrencies, as well as their staking derivatives.

According to one analysis [45], the Anchor protocol may do particularly well during a bear market. On the savings side, this seems intuitive; saving demands should increase as riskier investment opportunities do not look promising. However, the borrower demands are again more difficult to predict. In a mild downturn, it is possible that some ‘HODLers’ may be more inclined to stake their cryptocurrencies, to wait for the expected market recovery. But if the market is perceived to be in a strong downward trend, or if it is highly volatile, fewer people may be willing to stake.

Importantly, the main motivation for borrowing may be to create leverage for further investment. In a downturn, the risk of liquidation (as one fails to maintain the overcollateralization ratio, such as during a flash crash) may render this rather unappealing. Accordingly, since May 2021, the Anchor Protocol have had to offer extremely generous staking fee splits to attract borrowing. At such splits, even if borrowing demand is high, the earned fees cannot fully support the high interests paid out to savers. That is because the income of the protocol is just a multiplicative product of total staking derivative deposited as collateral and the fees split earned per collateral unit. As such, in July 2021, external funds had to be injected into the reserve in order to sustain the high savings interest rate [46].

Despite these caveats, like many others [44, 45], we agree that Anchor is a very timely product, with elegant protocol design and stimulating foresight. Below we outline some areas of further development, for achieving similar goals.

Authors:
(1) Hakwan Lau, Center for Brain Science, Riken Institute, Japan (hakwan@gmail.com);
(2) Stephen Tse, Harmony.ONE (s@harmony.one).
This paper is available on arxiv under CC BY-SA 4.0 DEED license.

As the comprehensive analysis above highlights, the protocol’s capability to sustain elevated savings interest rates was profoundly dependent on a delicate equilibrium between borrower demand, the fluctuating value of staking derivatives, and a dynamic mechanism for splitting staking fees. The initial period of stability, even through significant market events such as the May 2021 market crash, was indeed remarkable. Nevertheless, this stability was not indefinitely guaranteed, particularly as the market for staking derivatives matured and competitive pressures intensified.

The Unveiled Realities: Market Forces and Sustainability Challenges

The inherent challenges to Anchor’s operational model became progressively evident as the DeFi ecosystem developed. A primary concern was the relative novelty of staking derivatives as a distinct financial instrument. While innovative in concept, their broad market acceptance and liquidity were still in an nascent stage. At its inception, Anchor’s design primarily relied on staking derivatives from the Luna network, which inherently limited its scope and subjected it to specific, concentrated market dynamics.

The strategic vision for Anchor included expanding its collateral acceptance to other major Proof-of-Stake networks. However, such an expansion would inevitably introduce a new level of intense market competition. Other lending protocols could potentially offer more compelling terms, such as significantly lower interest rates for borrowers or reduced overcollateralization ratios. Protocols like Liquity, for example, demonstrated the viability of 0% interest rates and highly efficient liquidation processes. Such competition posed a substantial threat to Anchor’s ability to attract sufficient borrowers, thereby directly impacting the income stream generated from staking fees.

Moreover, borrower demand itself proved to be highly sensitive to broader market sentiment. While it might seem intuitive that a bear market would increase savings demand as investors seek relatively safer havens, it could concurrently lead to a sharp decrease in borrowing activity. A key motivation for many borrowers within Anchor was to leverage their crypto assets for further speculative investments. In a market downturn, the heightened risk of liquidation during sudden price drops made this strategy considerably less appealing. This intricate dynamic placed immense and unforeseen pressure on Anchor’s operational model, demonstrating its vulnerability to external market conditions.

The academic paper further elucidates this critical vulnerability: “since May 2021, the Anchor Protocol have had to offer extremely generous staking fee splits to attract borrowing. At such splits, even if borrowing demand is high, the earned fees cannot fully support the high interests paid out to savers. That is because the income of the protocol is just a multiplicative product of total staking derivative deposited as collateral and the fees split earned per collateral unit. As such, in July 2021, external funds had to be injected into the reserve in order to sustain the high savings interest rate [46].” This pivotal detail undeniably underscored the protocol’s struggle to achieve true self-sustainability, revealing a concerning reliance on external capital injections rather than organic yield generation, particularly when adverse market conditions prevailed.

Navigating DeFi Yields: Actionable Steps for Discerning Investors

The narrative of Anchor Protocol, ultimately concluding with its catastrophic collapse alongside the Terra ecosystem in May 2022, provides profound, indelible lessons for anyone participating in decentralized finance. While high yields are undeniably attractive, a deeper, critical understanding of the underlying mechanics and prevailing market dynamics is absolutely paramount. Here are three actionable steps for navigating the complex and often treacherous terrain of DeFi investments:

  1. Dissect the Underlying Mechanics: Do not be swayed solely by the advertised APY. Instead, rigorously investigate how the protocol genuinely generates its yield. Is the method sustainable? What are its fundamental dependencies? In Anchor’s specific case, the yield was intricately linked to staking rewards and, crucially, borrower demand. When borrower demand inevitably waned, the entire system came under severe strain. Always pose the fundamental question: “From precisely where does this yield originate, and what inherent risks are inextricably linked to its generation?”
  2. Assess Market Conditions and Competitive Landscape: The DeFi space is inherently dynamic and subject to rapid shifts. What proves successful during a bullish market cycle may entirely falter in a bearish one. Critically evaluate how evolving market sentiment (e.g., shifts in risk appetite, heightened volatility) could impact a protocol’s revenue streams (such as borrowing demand for a protocol like Anchor). Furthermore, thoroughly consider the competitive environment. If other protocols offer comparable or even superior terms for borrowers, or provide more diverse collateral options, how might this directly affect the long-term viability of the protocol you are considering for investment?
  3. Diversify and Implement Prudent Risk Management: It is an immutable truth that exceptionally high yields are almost invariably accompanied by commensurately higher risks. These can manifest as technical vulnerabilities (e.g., smart contract exploits), market-related risks (e.g., precipitous price crashes, liquidation events), or economic risks (e.g., unsustainable tokenomics). Under no circumstances should you concentrate all your capital into a single high-yield opportunity. Instead, diligently diversify your investments across a range of different protocols, asset types, and varying risk profiles. Establish and adhere to a robust risk management strategy, which must include a comprehensive understanding of potential impermanent loss, critical liquidation thresholds, and carefully defined exposure limits.

Real-World Example: The “Stable” Illusion

Consider the hypothetical case of an investor named Sarah, who in late 2021, captivated by Anchor’s promise of a 19.5% APY, allocated a substantial portion of her stablecoin portfolio to the protocol. She genuinely believed she was securing a ‘safe’ yield, effectively insulated from the notorious volatility inherent in other crypto assets. However, when the Terra ecosystem began its catastrophic unravelling in May 2022, the intricate underlying mechanism that supported Anchor’s yield—and critically, the peg of its foundational stablecoin, UST—collapsed entirely. Sarah, like countless other investors, witnessed her ‘stable’ investment rapidly devalue to near zero, a stark and painful illustration of the absolute necessity of scrutinizing the entire, interconnected ecosystem underpinning any advertised yield, rather than fixating solely on an attractive percentage.

Conclusion

Anchor Protocol undeniably represented a pivotal moment in DeFi innovation, boldly attempting to merge the promise of stable savings found in traditional finance with the inherent dynamism of the crypto world. Its complex journey, particularly the profound challenges encountered in sustaining its highly publicized savings rate, serves as a powerful and enduring reminder that even the most elegantly designed protocols must ultimately contend with the immutable realities of market forces and relentless competition. The expert academic analysis cited within this article accurately foresaw the inherent difficulties in maintaining such elevated yields without continuous, external financial support, especially when critical borrower demand inevitably diminished.

For investors, the overarching lesson is unequivocally clear: while a plethora of attractive yields may abound across the DeFi landscape, genuine due diligence and a comprehensive, critical understanding of risk are not merely advisable but absolutely non-negotiable. The ‘20% savings rate’ from Anchor shone brightly as a beacon for many, but its eventual, devastating fate underscored that the most crucial details often reside far beneath the surface, demanding a discerning eye and an unwavering commitment to informed, responsible decision-making.

Ready to Deepen Your DeFi Knowledge?

Do not allow appealing APYs to cloud your judgment or override prudent analysis. Commit to educating yourself thoroughly on the intricate complexities of decentralized finance, understand all associated risks, and consistently make informed, strategic investment choices. Explore more of our insightful articles on various DeFi protocols and effective investment strategies to meticulously protect and responsibly grow your digital asset portfolio.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What was Anchor Protocol, and why was its 20% savings rate so notable?
Anchor Protocol was a DeFi lending and borrowing platform that became widely known for offering an exceptionally high annual percentage yield (APY) of around 20% on stablecoin deposits. This rate was considered remarkable in the crypto space, promising stable and high returns amidst market volatility.

How did Anchor Protocol theoretically generate its high yield?
Anchor aimed to generate yield by lending deposited stablecoins to borrowers who provided liquid staking derivatives (LSDs) as collateral. The staking rewards from these LSDs were then intended to be distributed to savers as interest, theoretically creating a self-sustaining mechanism.

What were the main challenges Anchor faced in sustaining its 20% APY?
Key challenges included fluctuating borrower demand, intense market competition from other lending protocols offering better terms, the nascent market for staking derivatives, and the protocol’s heavy reliance on the Luna network’s specific dynamics. Eventually, it required external capital injections to maintain the high savings rate.

What eventually happened to Anchor Protocol and its 20% savings rate?
Anchor Protocol ultimately collapsed in May 2022, alongside the broader Terra ecosystem and its stablecoin UST. This led to a complete loss of funds for many investors who had deposited stablecoins, demonstrating the severe risks associated with its unsustainable model.

What are the key lessons investors should learn from Anchor Protocol’s trajectory?
Investors should prioritize deep due diligence into how yields are genuinely generated, critically assess market conditions and competitive landscapes, and always diversify investments with robust risk management strategies. Focusing solely on a high APY without understanding underlying mechanics and ecosystem risks can lead to catastrophic losses.

Related Articles

Back to top button