Technology

The Moonshot Gets Harder: AI’s Insatiable Appetite

In a world increasingly powered by technology, the sheer energy consumption of our digital infrastructure is becoming a silent, yet seismic, challenge. We marvel at the lightning-fast capabilities of AI, the vastness of cloud computing, and the instantaneity of global communication, but rarely do we pause to consider the immense power demands lurking beneath the surface. Data centers, the physical backbone of our digital lives, are hungry beasts, and their appetite is only growing. It’s a reality that hits close to home for tech giants, none more so than Google, which has set an incredibly ambitious goal: to run its operations on carbon-free energy 24/7 by 2030.

This “moonshot” target, as Google itself calls it, was recently the subject of a fascinating discussion at MIT Technology Review’s EmTech MIT conference. My colleague James Temple sat down with Lucia Tian, head of advanced energy technologies at Google, offering a rare peek behind the curtain at how one of the world’s most influential companies is grappling with its booming energy needs in the age of AI.

The Moonshot Gets Harder: AI’s Insatiable Appetite

Back in 2020, Google announced a climate pledge that captured headlines: by 2030, it aimed to operate entirely on carbon-free energy, around the clock, every single day. This isn’t just about buying enough renewable energy credits to offset annual consumption; it’s far more intricate. It means that for every hour Google’s data centers are drawing power from a local grid, there must be an equivalent amount of carbon-free energy generated on that same grid at that very moment. It’s a gold standard for corporate clean energy, pushing the boundaries beyond simple annual offsets.

Fast forward to today, and the goal looks even more challenging. The reason? Artificial Intelligence. The rapid advancement and deployment of AI technologies require immense computational power, and that translates directly into skyrocketing electricity demand. Google’s own Environmental Report reveals a stark reality: its total electricity demand more than doubled from 2020 to 2024. This isn’t just a slight uptick; it’s a dramatic surge that threatens to derail even the most well-intentioned climate initiatives.

So, where does Google stand on its 24/7 carbon-free goal? In 2020, its data centers were at 67% on this metric. Last year, that figure nudged down to 66%. While a drop of one percentage point might seem minor, it’s actually a testament to the immense growth in demand that the company is, essentially, treading water. As Lucia Tian candidly admitted at EmTech MIT, “It was always a moonshot. It’s something very, very hard to achieve, and it’s only harder in the face of this growth. But our perspective is, if we don’t move in that direction, we’ll never get there.” The sentiment perfectly encapsulates the blend of ambition and realism driving Google’s energy strategy.

Navigating the Energy Maze: Google’s Diversified Approach

To bridge this growing gap between soaring demand and its audacious carbon-free goal, Google has been aggressively pursuing a diverse portfolio of energy deals. The sheer volume of announcements in this space feels constant, indicating a multi-pronged attack on an incredibly complex problem. Two recent initiatives highlighted by Tian offer a fascinating glimpse into the company’s pragmatic, if at times controversial, approach.

Controversial Carbon Capture

One notable agreement involves purchasing most of the electricity from a new natural gas plant in Illinois, which is designed to capture and store about 90% of its carbon dioxide emissions. This move immediately raised eyebrows and sparked debate. Critics argue that investing in new fossil fuel infrastructure, even with carbon capture technology, prolongs the lifespan of gas plants and still releases some greenhouse gases and other pollutants into the atmosphere, rather than phasing out fossil fuels entirely.

My colleague James Temple raised a pertinent question on stage: why build a new natural gas plant instead of retrofitting an existing one? Tian explained that while retrofits were indeed considered for many operational plants, they aren’t always feasible. Existing sites might lack the necessary space for additional equipment, or, crucially, they might not have the right geological conditions for underground carbon dioxide storage. Google’s intention, she emphasized, was “to lead with a project that could prove this technology at scale.” This specific Illinois site boasts an operational Class VI well (designed for permanent sequestration) and minimizes the need for extensive new pipeline construction, making it an ideal candidate for demonstrating the technology effectively.

The Nuclear Option

Another significant announcement involved a collaboration with NextEra Energy to reopen the Duane Arnold Energy Center, a shuttered nuclear power plant in Iowa. Google plans to purchase electricity from this plant, which is slated to come back online in 2029. This partnership underscores a growing willingness among tech companies to embrace nuclear power as a reliable, carbon-free baseload energy source, a stark contrast to the trend just a few years ago.

As I noted in a story earlier this year, the Duane Arnold plant was essentially the last viable option in the US for companies looking to restart previously closed nuclear facilities. Tian reflected on this shift, noting, “Just a few years back, we were still closing down nuclear plants in this country.” She also gave a shout-out to the teams working on other pioneering efforts, like the reopening of the Palisades plant in Michigan, acknowledging them as “the real heroes of the story.” These projects signal a pragmatic shift in energy strategy, recognizing that a truly 24/7 carbon-free grid might require a diverse mix, including sources that were previously deemed off-limits or obsolete.

Skepticism, Ambition, and the Road Ahead

As a climate reporter, getting this kind of insight into how Big Tech strategizes its energy future is always invaluable. It’s easy to be skeptical, especially when ambitious goals face the headwinds of unprecedented growth. The challenges Google faces are immense: not just the physical hurdles of energy generation and storage, but also the economic realities and the public perception of the technologies they choose to invest in. The tension between rapid innovation (AI) and sustainable infrastructure is palpable.

Yet, what Google’s approach at EmTech MIT reinforced is that the “moonshot” mentality isn’t just rhetoric. It’s a driving force pushing them to explore every available avenue, from controversial carbon capture to revitalized nuclear power. Whether these strategies will ultimately close the gap by 2030 remains to be seen, but the intent and the scale of investment are undeniable. The path to a truly carbon-free future for our digital world is complex, fraught with difficult choices, and often requires rethinking conventional wisdom. Google’s journey will undoubtedly serve as a critical case study for the entire tech industry, and indeed, for our global energy transition.

Google, energy goals, carbon-free energy, AI energy demand, 2030 goal, EmTech MIT, carbon capture, nuclear power, renewable energy, sustainability, data centers

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